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D.J. Moore

D.J. Moore Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 10

Carolina Panthers vs Atlanta Falcons

 
 
 
D.J. Moore Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+225/-325).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Opposing teams have averaged 40.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Atlanta Falcons defense this year: 2nd-most in the NFL.
  • D.J. Moore has been a key part of his team's passing attack near the end zone, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 21.7% this year, which places him in the 85th percentile among wide receivers.
  • D.J. Moore's 70.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks among the best in football: 97th percentile for WRs.
  • The Carolina Panthers O-line grades out as the 2nd-best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong impact on all air attack stats across the board.
  • D.J. Moore ranks in the 81st percentile among wideouts as it relates to catching TDs this year, averaging a stellar 0.33 per game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Panthers to run the 2nd-least offensive plays on the slate this week with 61.9 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Carolina Panthers have run the 2nd-least plays in the NFL this year, totaling just 52.4 plays per game.
  • D.J. Moore has compiled far fewer air yards this year (92.0 per game) than he did last year (100.0 per game).
  • D.J. Moore's ball-catching skills have declined this year, with his Completion% shrinking from 59.7% to 52.4%.
  • The Carolina Panthers offensive line has given their QB a mere 2.39 seconds before getting pressured (4th-worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all air attack stats across the board.

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