D.J. Moore Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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D.J. Moore

NFL · Player Props

D.J. Moore

WR · Carolina Panthers

Receiving TD

Carolina Panthers vs Atlanta Falcons · Week 10, 2022

Updated Nov 11, 2022 12:21 AM UTC

Analysis

D.J. Moore Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+225/-325).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Opposing teams have averaged 40.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Atlanta Falcons defense this year: 2nd-most in the NFL.
D.J. Moore has been a key part of his team's passing attack near the end zone, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 21.7% this year, which places him in the 85th percentile among wide receivers.
D.J. Moore's 70.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks among the best in football: 97th percentile for WRs.
The Carolina Panthers O-line grades out as the 2nd-best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong impact on all air attack stats across the board.
D.J. Moore ranks in the 81st percentile among wideouts as it relates to catching TDs this year, averaging a stellar 0.33 per game.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Panthers to run the 2nd-least offensive plays on the slate this week with 61.9 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Carolina Panthers have run the 2nd-least plays in the NFL this year, totaling just 52.4 plays per game.
D.J. Moore has compiled far fewer air yards this year (92.0 per game) than he did last year (100.0 per game).
D.J. Moore's ball-catching skills have declined this year, with his Completion% shrinking from 59.7% to 52.4%.
The Carolina Panthers offensive line has given their QB a mere 2.39 seconds before getting pressured (4th-worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all air attack stats across the board.

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