D.J. Moore Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 1

NFL · Player Props

D.J. Moore

WR · Carolina Panthers

Receiving TD

Carolina Panthers vs Cleveland Browns · Week 1, 2022

Updated Sep 11, 2022 11:34 PM UTC

Analysis

D.J. Moore Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+174/-249).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +187 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +174.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Carolina Panthers offense to be the 2nd-quickest paced team in the league (adjusted for context) right now, averaging 25.65 seconds per play.
The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
D.J. Moore has been a key part of his team's offense near the end zone, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 24.1% since the start of last season, which ranks in the 92nd percentile among wide receivers.
D.J. Moore has compiled a colossal 100.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 96th percentile among wideouts.
D.J. Moore's 71.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks him among the league leaders: 98th percentile for WRs.

Favors Under

The Carolina Panthers offensive line ranks as the worst in football since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative impact on all air attack stats across the board.
D.J. Moore has been among the most hard-handed receivers in the NFL, catching a mere 59.7% of balls thrown his way since the start of last season, grading out in the 18th percentile among WRs
The Cleveland Browns pass defense has allowed the 9th-lowest Completion% in the NFL (64%) vs. wide receivers since the start of last season (64.0%).
The Cleveland Browns cornerbacks rank as the 3rd-best collection of CBs in the NFL since the start of last season in pass coverage.
The Carolina Panthers offensive line has afforded their quarterback just 2.39 seconds before getting pressured (4th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all passing game stats across the board.