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D.J. Chark

D.J. Chark Receptions
Player Prop Week 18

Carolina Panthers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

D.J. Chark Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-165/+135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -140 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -165.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game's line suggests a throwing game script for the Panthers, who are -4.5-point underdogs.

The 2nd-largest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Panthers this year (a staggering 62.1 per game on average).

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, inducing opposing QBs to attempt the 4th-most passes in football (39.1 per game) this year.

D.J. Chark has been on the field for 79.9% of his team's snaps this year, ranking him in the 80th percentile among WRs.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has yielded the 10th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (67.1%) versus wide receivers this year (67.1%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Panthers to pass on 54.5% of their opportunities: the 7th-lowest rate on the slate this week.

Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 5th-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 127.2 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Windy weather conditions (like the 14-mph being predicted in this game) typically cause worse passing effectiveness, lower air attack volume, and increased ground volume.

The Carolina Panthers offensive line profiles as the 3rd-worst in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative influence on all passing offense metrics across the board.

With a weak 56.4% Adjusted Completion Rate (10th percentile) this year, D.J. Chark ranks as one of the worst possession receivers in the league among WRs.

More D.J. Chark Player Props

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