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D.J. Chark

D.J. Chark Receptions
Player Prop Week 17

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Carolina Panthers

D.J. Chark Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+135/-165).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

An extreme throwing game script is indicated by the Panthers being a massive -7-point underdog in this week's game.

The Carolina Panthers have called the 2nd-most plays in the league this year, averaging a colossal 62.7 plays per game.

Opposing teams have averaged 37.7 pass attempts per game vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year: 9th-most in football.

The Jaguars pass defense has surrendered the 10th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (67.1%) to wide receivers this year (67.1%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Panthers to pass on 53.8% of their downs: the 7th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.

The model projects the Panthers to run the 11th-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 64.1 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

D.J. Chark's 35.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that measures high-value offensive volume) has been significantly lower this season than it was last season at 42.4.

The Carolina O-line ranks as the 3rd-worst in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful impact on all passing attack metrics across the board.

As it relates to cornerbacks in covering receivers, Jacksonville's CB corps has been excellent this year, grading out as the 8th-best in the league.

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