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D.J. Chark

D.J. Chark Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Carolina Panthers vs Houston Texans

 
 
 
D.J. Chark Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 33.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 35.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 33.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Panthers offense to tilt 5.6% more towards the passing attack than it did last year (in a neutral context) with offensive coordinator Thomas Brown now calling the plays.
  • This game's line suggests a throwing game script for the Panthers, who are -3.5-point underdogs.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is anticipated by the projection model to see 132.3 total plays called: the 3rd-most on the slate this week.
  • The 4th-most plays in the NFL have been called by the Carolina Panthers this year (a colossal 64.0 per game on average).
  • The Houston Texans defense has been something of pass funnel this year, causing opposing QBs to attempt the 9th-most passes in the league (38.5 per game) this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Carolina Panthers to pass on 56.9% of their chances: the 11th-lowest rate on the slate this week.
  • D.J. Chark has been a more integral piece of his team's offense this year, staying in the game for 84.0% of snaps compared to just 70.2% last year.
  • When talking about pass-blocking (and the impact it has on all passing attack statistics), the O-line of the Carolina Panthers grades out as the 2nd-worst in the NFL this year.
  • D.J. Chark's 52.1% Adjusted Catch Rate this season illustrates a noteworthy diminishment in his pass-catching prowess over last season's 58.2% rate.
  • D.J. Chark's pass-catching efficiency has declined this season, averaging a mere 7.27 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a 8.73 rate last season.

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