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D.J. Chark

D.J. Chark Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Miami Dolphins vs Carolina Panthers

 
 
 
D.J. Chark Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 32.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Carolina Panthers have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Thomas Brown, and the projections expect their pass/run mix to tilt 5.1% more towards passing than it did last season (in a neutral context).
  • The Panthers are a massive 14-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards an extreme passing game script.
  • Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Carolina Panthers to pass on 61.4% of their opportunities: the 6th-highest rate among all teams this week.
  • The 5th-most plays in football have been run by the Carolina Panthers this year (a staggering 63.6 per game on average).
  • D.J. Chark has run fewer routes this year (90.1% Route Participation% in games he has played) than he did last year (80.0%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Panthers to run the 7th-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 62.9 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
  • The Carolina Panthers offensive line ranks as the 2nd-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful impact on all air attack metrics across the board.
  • D.J. Chark's 52.5% Adjusted Completion Rate this season signifies a a substantial regression in his receiving ability over last season's 58.2% rate.
  • The Dolphins safeties profile as the best collection of safeties in the league this year in defending receivers.

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