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D.J. Chark

D.J. Chark Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Seattle Seahawks vs Carolina Panthers

 
 
 
D.J. Chark Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-109/-119).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 29.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 29.5 @ -119.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Carolina Panthers will have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Thomas Brown, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 6.5% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
  • The Panthers are a 4.5-point underdog in this game, likely leading to a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Carolina Panthers as the 10th-quickest paced defense in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the moment, leading opposing offenses to average 27.52 seconds per snap.
  • The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • D.J. Chark has put up a colossal 68.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 82nd percentile among WRs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Carolina Panthers to be the 10th-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 55.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • D.J. Chark has been among the most hard-handed receivers in the NFL, completing just 58.2% of passes thrown his way since the start of last season, ranking in the 10th percentile among wideouts
  • The Seattle Seahawks defense has given up the 2nd-least receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 122.0) to wide receivers since the start of last season.
  • The Seattle Seahawks pass defense has exhibited good efficiency versus wide receivers since the start of last season, conceding 7.57 yards-per-target to the position: the 5th-least in the league.

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