D.J. Chark Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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D.J. Chark

NFL · Player Props

D.J. Chark

WR · Carolina Panthers

Receiving Yards

Carolina Panthers vs Atlanta Falcons · Week 15, 2023

Updated Dec 17, 2023 9:06 PM UTC

Analysis

D.J. Chark Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The leading projections forecast this game to see the highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 133.7 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.
The 2nd-most plays in football have been called by the Carolina Panthers this year (a massive 63.5 per game on average).
As it relates to linebackers in defending receivers, Atlanta's collection of LBs has been atrocious this year, ranking as the 5th-worst in football.

Favors Under

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Carolina Panthers to pass on 51.7% of their opportunities: the 5th-lowest clip among all teams this week.
The forecast calls for 16-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.
After totaling 74.0 air yards per game last season, D.J. Chark has significantly declined this season, now averaging 51.0 per game.
D.J. Chark's 32.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that calculates high-value offensive usage) has been significantly lower this year than it was last year at 42.4.
The Carolina O-line ranks as the 2nd-worst in football this year in pass protection, which has a harmful effect on all passing offense stats across the board.

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