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D.J. Chark

D.J. Chark Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Chicago Bears vs Carolina Panthers

 
 
 
D.J. Chark Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The projections expect the Carolina Panthers offensive blueprint to skew 6.5% more towards the passing game than it did last year (adjusted for context) with offensive coordinator Thomas Brown now calling the plays.
  • This week's spread implies a throwing game script for the Panthers, who are -3-point underdogs.
  • The 3rd-most plays in football have been run by the Panthers this year (a monstrous 63.8 per game on average).
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 39.1 pass attempts per game versus the Chicago Bears defense this year: 6th-most in the NFL.
  • This year, the weak Bears pass defense has surrendered a monstrous 70.7% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing wide receivers: the 7th-largest rate in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Carolina Panthers to pass on 56.0% of their downs: the 8th-lowest clip among all teams this week.
  • The model projects the Panthers to call the 7th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.8 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
  • The Panthers offensive line grades out as the 2nd-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative effect on all pass game stats across the board.

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