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D.J. Chark

D.J. Chark Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Detroit Lions vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
D.J. Chark Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 49.5 (-116/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 50.5 @ -112 before it was bet down to 49.5 @ -114.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Detroit Lions offense has played at the 10th-fastest pace in the NFL (adjusted for context) this year, averaging 26.77 seconds per snap.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • THE BLITZ projects D.J. Chark to accrue 7.0 targets in this contest, on average, ranking in the 78th percentile among wideouts.
  • D.J. Chark has put up a colossal 94.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 92nd percentile among WRs.
  • D.J. Chark's 49.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit higher this season than it was last season at 40.2.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Lions are a 3.5-point favorite this week, which points towards a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Detroit Lions as the 6th-least pass-heavy team in the league (adjusted for context) right now with a 58.4% pass rate.
  • D.J. Chark has been among the least sure-handed receivers in the NFL, hauling in just 37.1% of passes thrown his way this year, checking in at the 2nd percentile among WRs
  • D.J. Chark has been among the least effective receivers in the NFL, averaging a measly 5.54 yards-per-target this year while ranking in the 11th percentile among wide receivers
  • The Detroit Lions offensive line has given their quarterback a measly 2.53 seconds before the pass (9th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a harmful effect on all passing offense metrics across the board.

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