D.J. Chark Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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D.J. Chark

NFL · Player Props

D.J. Chark

WR · Detroit Lions

Receiving Yards

Detroit Lions vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 4, 2022

Updated Oct 1, 2022 8:40 PM UTC

Analysis

D.J. Chark Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 49.5 (-116/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 50.5 @ -112 before it was bet down to 49.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Detroit Lions offense has played at the 10th-fastest pace in the NFL (adjusted for context) this year, averaging 26.77 seconds per snap.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects D.J. Chark to accrue 7.0 targets in this contest, on average, ranking in the 78th percentile among wideouts.
D.J. Chark has put up a colossal 94.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 92nd percentile among WRs.
D.J. Chark's 49.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit higher this season than it was last season at 40.2.

Favors Under

The Lions are a 3.5-point favorite this week, which points towards a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Detroit Lions as the 6th-least pass-heavy team in the league (adjusted for context) right now with a 58.4% pass rate.
D.J. Chark has been among the least sure-handed receivers in the NFL, hauling in just 37.1% of passes thrown his way this year, checking in at the 2nd percentile among WRs
D.J. Chark has been among the least effective receivers in the NFL, averaging a measly 5.54 yards-per-target this year while ranking in the 11th percentile among wide receivers
The Detroit Lions offensive line has given their quarterback a measly 2.53 seconds before the pass (9th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a harmful effect on all passing offense metrics across the board.

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