D.J. Chark Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 2

reorder

NFL · Player Props

D.J. Chark

WR · Detroit Lions

Receiving Yards

Detroit Lions vs Washington Commanders · Week 2, 2022

Updated Sep 18, 2022 7:30 PM UTC

Analysis

D.J. Chark Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 40.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 42.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 40.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Detroit Lions offense has played at the 9th-quickest pace in the NFL (context-neutralized) since the start of last season, averaging 25.27 seconds per snap.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
D.J. Chark has received a whopping 29.3% of his offense's air yards since the start of last season: 89th percentile among wide receivers.
D.J. Chark's 44.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) puts him in the company of the best in the league: 82nd percentile for wide receivers.
The Washington Commanders defense has conceded the 3rd-most receiving yards per game in the NFL (175.0) vs. wide receivers since the start of last season.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Detroit Lions to be the 6th-least pass-oriented team in the league (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 57.6% pass rate.
The Washington Commanders pass defense has been quite strong when opposing wideouts have gotten into space, yielding an average of 3.69 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 3rd-least in football.
The Detroit Lions offensive line has afforded their quarterback just 2.53 seconds before the pass (9th-worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a harmful impact on all passing offense statistics across the board.
The Detroit Lions have incorporated play action on a mere 22.0% of their passing plays since the start of last season (6th-least in the NFL), making the offense more predictable and lowering passing effectiveness.