D.J. Chark Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 46.5 (+105/-135).
Key Factors
Favors Over
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
D.J. Chark has run fewer routes this year (86.4% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (70.8%).
D.J. Chark has notched a monstrous 86.0 air yards per game this year: 88th percentile among wide receivers.
The Chicago Bears pass defense has allowed the 6th-highest Completion% in the league (69.4%) to wide receivers this year (69.4%).
The Chicago Bears pass defense has shown weak efficiency vs. wideouts this year, giving up 9.79 yards-per-target to the position: the most in the league.
Favors Under
The Lions are a 4.5-point favorite this week, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Lions to run the 7th-least offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Opposing QBs have averaged 28.9 pass attempts per game against the Chicago Bears defense this year: least in the league.
The Detroit Lions offensive line grades out as the 4th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful effect on all passing attack stats across the board.
The Detroit Lions O-line has afforded their quarterback a mere 2.53 seconds before the pass (9th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all air attack stats across the board.