D.J. Chark Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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D.J. Chark

NFL · Player Props

D.J. Chark

WR · Detroit Lions

Receiving Yards

Detroit Lions vs Minnesota Vikings · Week 14, 2022

Updated Dec 11, 2022 5:36 PM UTC

Analysis

D.J. Chark Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 35.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 134.1 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Opposing offenses have averaged 38.8 pass attempts per game against the Minnesota Vikings defense this year: 2nd-most in the NFL.
D.J. Chark has put up a whopping 93.0 air yards per game this year: 90th percentile among wide receivers.
D.J. Chark's 47.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit better this season than it was last season at 40.2.

Favors Under

The Detroit Lions offensive line profiles as the 5th-worst in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a negative effect on all pass attack stats across the board.
D.J. Chark has been among the most hard-handed receivers in the league, hauling in a measly 45.6% of passes thrown his way this year, checking in at the 14th percentile among wide receivers
D.J. Chark has been among the worst wideouts in the league at generating extra yardage, averaging just 2.21 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while ranking in the 24th percentile.
The Minnesota Vikings cornerbacks project as the 7th-best collection of CBs in the NFL this year in covering receivers.
The Detroit Lions O-line has allowed their quarterback a mere 2.53 seconds before the pass (9th-worst in football since the start of last season), which has a harmful effect on all pass attack metrics across the board.

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