D.J. Chark Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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D.J. Chark

NFL · Player Props

D.J. Chark

WR · Detroit Lions

Receiving Yards

Detroit Lions vs Buffalo Bills · Week 12, 2022

Updated Nov 24, 2022 8:26 PM UTC

Analysis

D.J. Chark Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (+117/-157).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Lions are a 3-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Detroit Lions to be the 7th-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 63.4% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Lions to call the 8th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 66.2 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
D.J. Chark has notched a whopping 90.0 air yards per game this year: 91st percentile among wide receivers.

Favors Under

The Detroit Lions offensive line ranks as the 7th-worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a harmful impact on all passing game stats across the board.
D.J. Chark has been among the most unreliable receivers in football, completing a mere 37.3% of passes thrown his way this year, ranking in the 9th percentile among wideouts
D.J. Chark has been among the least effective receivers in the league, averaging a lowly 5.47 yards-per-target this year while ranking in the 19th percentile among WRs
The Buffalo Bills pass defense has performed very well when opposing WRs have gotten into space, giving up an average of 3.75 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 2nd-least in football.
The Buffalo Bills linebackers grade out as the best collection of LBs in football this year in pass coverage.

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