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D.J. Chark

D.J. Chark Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 15

New York Jets vs Detroit Lions

 
 
 
D.J. Chark Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+292/-511).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +303 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +292.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Lions to call the 7th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 67.3 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects D.J. Chark to be much more involved in his team's pass game near the goal line this week (14.2% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (8.6% in games he has played).
  • D.J. Chark has accumulated a whopping 90.0 air yards per game this year: 90th percentile among wideouts.
  • D.J. Chark's 48.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly higher this year than it was last year at 40.2.
  • D.J. Chark ranks in the 84th percentile among WRs when it comes to catching touchdowns this year, averaging a terrific 0.43 per game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Detroit Lions O-line profiles as the 4th-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.
  • D.J. Chark has been among the worst possession receivers in the league, completing a mere 53.2% of balls thrown his way this year, ranking in the 21st percentile among wide receivers
  • The New York Jets pass defense has yielded the 3rd-lowest Completion% in the league (61.7%) vs. wide receivers this year (61.7%).
  • The New York Jets defense has given up the 7th-least passing TDs in the league to wide receivers: 0.77 per game this year.
  • The New York Jets cornerbacks project as the best collection of CBs in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

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