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D.J. Chark Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+313/-569).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -387 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -569.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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THE BLITZ projects the Lions to call the 6th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 66.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.D.J. Chark has compiled a colossal 90.0 air yards per game this year: 90th percentile among wideouts.D.J. Chark's 45.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks him among the best in the league: 78th percentile for wide receivers.D.J. Chark ranks in the 87th percentile among WRs when it comes to catching TDs this year, averaging a stellar 0.40 per game.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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The Detroit Lions O-line grades out as the 5th-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all passing offense metrics across the board.D.J. Chark has been among the most hard-handed receivers in the NFL, hauling in just 37.9% of balls thrown his way this year, checking in at the 8th percentile among wideoutsThe Jacksonville Jaguars pass defense has given up the 8th-lowest Completion% in the NFL (63.2%) versus wideouts this year (63.2%).The Detroit Lions offensive line has afforded their quarterback a mere 2.53 seconds before the pass (9th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a negative impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.The Jacksonville Jaguars pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks just 2.44 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 10th-quickest in football since the start of last season.
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