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D.J. Chark
NFL · Player Props
D.J. Chark
WR · Detroit Lions
Receiving TD
Detroit Lions vs Buffalo Bills · Week 12, 2022 Updated Nov 24, 2022 5:31 PM UTC
NFL Props D.J. Chark Receiving TD

D.J. Chark Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+300/-532).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -494 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -532.

Favors Over
  • The Lions are a 3-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Lions to call the 8th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 66.2 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • D.J. Chark has notched a whopping 90.0 air yards per game this year: 91st percentile among wide receivers.
  • D.J. Chark's 45.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) puts him in the company of the best in the league: 78th percentile for WRs.
Favors Under
  • The Detroit Lions offensive line ranks as the 7th-worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a harmful impact on all passing game stats across the board.
  • D.J. Chark has been among the most unreliable receivers in football, completing a mere 37.3% of passes thrown his way this year, ranking in the 9th percentile among wideouts
  • The Buffalo Bills linebackers grade out as the best collection of LBs in football this year in pass coverage.
  • The Detroit Lions offensive line has afforded their QB a measly 2.53 seconds before the pass (9th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a harmful effect on all passing attack stats across the board.
  • The Detroit Lions have incorporated play action on a mere 22.0% of their dropbacks since the start of last season (6th-least in the league), creating a more one-dimensional offense that hurts passing production.
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