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Diontae Johnson

Diontae Johnson Receptions
Player Prop Week 7

Washington Commanders vs Carolina Panthers

Diontae Johnson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Panthers are underdogs this week, indicating more of a focus on moving the ball through the air than their usual game plan.

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Carolina Panthers to pass on 61.3% of their plays: the 6th-highest rate among all teams this week.

Calm weather conditions (like the 3-mph wind being projected in this game) generally cause better passing efficiency, higher TD potential, higher air attack volume, and reduced ground volume.

The model projects Diontae Johnson to earn 9.5 targets in this week's game, on balance, placing him in the 95th percentile among WRs.

Diontae Johnson has been a big part of his team's passing offense, garnering a Target Share of 27.8% this year, which puts him in the 95th percentile when it comes to WRs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect the Panthers to run the 7th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.6 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.

Opposing QBs have averaged 30.7 pass attempts per game versus the Commanders defense this year: 9th-fewest in football.

Diontae Johnson's 54.9% Adjusted Completion% this year shows a noteable drop-off in his pass-catching skills over last year's 61.3% figure.

More Diontae Johnson Player Props

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