Diontae Johnson Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Diontae Johnson

NFL · Player Props

Diontae Johnson

WR · Pittsburgh Steelers

Receptions

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Tennessee Titans · Week 9, 2023

Updated Nov 3, 2023 12:21 AM UTC

Analysis

Diontae Johnson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-123/-111).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -148 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -123.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The projections expect the Steelers offense to be the quickest paced team in football (context-neutralized) at the moment, averaging 26.02 seconds per snap.
The leading projections forecast Diontae Johnson to notch 8.5 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking him in the 88th percentile among wideouts.
With an outstanding 5.2 adjusted catches per game (91st percentile) since the start of last season, Diontae Johnson stands among the top WRs in the NFL in the league.
The Titans pass defense has surrendered the 2nd-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (75.9%) versus WRs this year (75.9%).
The Tennessee Titans linebackers project as the 5th-worst unit in the league this year in covering receivers.

Favors Under

With a 3-point advantage, the Steelers are favored this week, indicating more of a focus on running than their normal game plan.
Diontae Johnson's 74.3% Route Participation% this year indicates a remarkable decline in his pass game workload over last year's 96.2% figure.
In regards to pass protection (and the effect it has on all pass attack statistics), the O-line of the Pittsburgh Steelers ranks as the 6th-worst in the league this year.

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