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Diontae Johnson

Diontae Johnson Receptions
Player Prop Week 8

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Jacksonville Jaguars

Diontae Johnson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-158/+124).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -140 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -158.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is anticipated by the projection model to have 133.3 plays on offense run: the 2nd-most out of all the games this week.

The weather forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, and reduced ground volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

The Jacksonville Jaguars defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, leading opposing teams to attempt the most passes in the league (43.7 per game) this year.

With a top-tier 91.9% Route Participation% (90th percentile) since the start of last season, Diontae Johnson has been as one of the WRs with the most usage in the league.

In this game, Diontae Johnson is projected by the predictive model to land in the 89th percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 8.5 targets.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Steelers have run the 6th-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a mere 53.5 plays per game.

The Pittsburgh offensive line grades out as the 3rd-worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful influence on all pass attack statistics across the board.

As it relates to cornerbacks in covering pass-catchers, Jacksonville's group of CBs has been very good this year, ranking as the best in football.

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