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Diontae Johnson

Diontae Johnson Receptions
Player Prop Week 18

Baltimore Ravens vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Diontae Johnson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-106/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -122 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Pittsburgh Steelers may take to the air less in this week's game (and call more rushes) because they be forced to start backup quarterback Mason Rudolph.

Opposing offenses have averaged 40.6 pass attempts per game against the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: most in the league.

The leading projections forecast Diontae Johnson to accumulate 5.9 targets in this contest, on balance, putting him in the 77th percentile among wideouts.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 3-point advantage, the Steelers are favored in this week's contest, suggesting more of a reliance on rushing than their normal game plan.

Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Pittsburgh Steelers to pass on 47.8% of their opportunities: the lowest frequency on the slate this week.

The leading projections forecast the Pittsburgh Steelers offense to be the 4th-most sluggish paced team in the league (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 29.31 seconds per snap.

Diontae Johnson has run fewer routes this year (84.0% Route Participation% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (96.2%).

When talking about pass-blocking (and the impact it has on all pass attack metrics), the O-line of the Steelers grades out as the 8th-worst in the NFL this year.

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