Diontae Johnson Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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Diontae Johnson

NFL · Player Props

Diontae Johnson

WR · Pittsburgh Steelers

Receptions

Pittsburgh Steelers vs San Francisco 49ers · Week 1, 2023

Updated Sep 10, 2023 8:11 PM EST

Analysis

Diontae Johnson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-120/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Pittsburgh Steelers have run the 5th-most plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a whopping 61.5 plays per game.
Opposing QBs have averaged 35.9 pass attempts per game versus the San Francisco 49ers defense since the start of last season: 5th-most in the NFL.
Diontae Johnson has run a route on 96.2% of his offense's dropbacks since the start of last season, ranking him in the 97th percentile among WRs.
THE BLITZ projects Diontae Johnson to accumulate 8.1 targets in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 92nd percentile among WRs.
Diontae Johnson has been among the leading WRs in the game since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 5.1 receptions per game while grading out in the 88th percentile.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Steelers to call the 5th-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Diontae Johnson has been among the least sure-handed receivers in the NFL, completing a measly 61.7% of balls thrown his way since the start of last season, checking in at the 20th percentile among wideouts
The San Francisco 49ers linebackers rank as the 3rd-best unit in the league since the start of last season in pass coverage.

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