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Diontae Johnson

Diontae Johnson Receptions
Player Prop Week 18

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cleveland Browns

Diontae Johnson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+140/-180).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ +160 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ +140.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Pittsburgh Steelers have run the 5th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a whopping 61.5 plays per game.

The forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

Diontae Johnson has run a route on 96.8% of his team's dropbacks this year, putting him in the 98th percentile among wide receivers.

THE BLITZ projects Diontae Johnson to accumulate 8.0 targets this week, on average, ranking in the 90th percentile among WRs.

The Pittsburgh Steelers have gone no-huddle on 15.2% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (5th-most in football). This speeds up the pace, resulting in more volume and stat-padding.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Pittsburgh Steelers to be the 8th-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 54.0% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 127.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.5 pass attempts per game versus the Cleveland Browns defense this year: 4th-least in the league.

Diontae Johnson's receiving talent has diminished this season, notching a measly 5.3 yards per game vs 6.8 last season.

The Cleveland Browns pass defense has conceded the 10th-lowest Completion% in football (64.1%) to wideouts this year (64.1%).

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