Diontae Johnson Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Diontae Johnson

NFL · Player Props

Diontae Johnson

WR · Pittsburgh Steelers

Receiving Yards

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Jacksonville Jaguars · Week 8, 2023

Updated Oct 29, 2023 4:46 PM UTC

Analysis

Diontae Johnson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 50.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 53.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 50.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is anticipated by the projection model to have 133.3 plays on offense run: the 2nd-most out of all the games this week.
The weather forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, and reduced ground volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
The Jacksonville Jaguars defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, leading opposing teams to attempt the most passes in the league (43.7 per game) this year.
With a top-tier 91.9% Route Participation% (90th percentile) since the start of last season, Diontae Johnson has been as one of the WRs with the most usage in the league.
In this game, Diontae Johnson is projected by the predictive model to land in the 89th percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 8.5 targets.

Favors Under

The Steelers have run the 6th-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a mere 53.5 plays per game.
The Pittsburgh offensive line grades out as the 3rd-worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful influence on all pass attack statistics across the board.
As it relates to cornerbacks in covering pass-catchers, Jacksonville's group of CBs has been very good this year, ranking as the best in football.

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