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Diontae Johnson

Diontae Johnson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Los Angeles Rams vs Pittsburgh Steelers

 
 
 
Diontae Johnson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 48.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 45.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 48.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Steelers are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards a passing game script.
  • Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Pittsburgh Steelers are forecasted by the model to call 65.5 total plays in this contest: the 8th-most on the slate this week.
  • With an elite 92.1% Route Participation% (91st percentile) since the start of last season, Diontae Johnson has been as one of the WRs with the highest volume in football.
  • The leading projections forecast Diontae Johnson to accrue 8.5 targets in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 89th percentile among WRs.
  • Diontae Johnson has totaled a massive 89.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 91st percentile when it comes to wide receivers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The 7th-smallest volume of plays in football have been called by the Steelers this year (only 54.6 per game on average).
  • The Steelers O-line profiles as the 3rd-worst in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative impact on all passing offense metrics across the board.
  • Diontae Johnson has been one of the most unreliable receivers in the league, completing a mere 61.0% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) since the start of last season, ranking in the 16th percentile among wide receivers
  • With a subpar 6.8 adjusted yards per target (9th percentile) since the start of last season, Diontae Johnson ranks as one of the worst wide receivers in the league in the NFL.
  • The Los Angeles Rams pass defense has surrendered the 2nd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (51.9%) to wide receivers this year (51.9%).

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