Diontae Johnson Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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NFL · Player Props

Diontae Johnson

WR · Pittsburgh Steelers

Receiving Yards

Los Angeles Rams vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Week 7, 2023

Updated Oct 22, 2023 11:16 PM EST

Analysis

Diontae Johnson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 48.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 45.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 48.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Steelers are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards a passing game script.
Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Pittsburgh Steelers are forecasted by the model to call 65.5 total plays in this contest: the 8th-most on the slate this week.
With an elite 92.1% Route Participation% (91st percentile) since the start of last season, Diontae Johnson has been as one of the WRs with the highest volume in football.
The leading projections forecast Diontae Johnson to accrue 8.5 targets in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 89th percentile among WRs.
Diontae Johnson has totaled a massive 89.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 91st percentile when it comes to wide receivers.

Favors Under

The 7th-smallest volume of plays in football have been called by the Steelers this year (only 54.6 per game on average).
The Steelers O-line profiles as the 3rd-worst in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative impact on all passing offense metrics across the board.
Diontae Johnson has been one of the most unreliable receivers in the league, completing a mere 61.0% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) since the start of last season, ranking in the 16th percentile among wide receivers
With a subpar 6.8 adjusted yards per target (9th percentile) since the start of last season, Diontae Johnson ranks as one of the worst wide receivers in the league in the NFL.
The Los Angeles Rams pass defense has surrendered the 2nd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (51.9%) to wide receivers this year (51.9%).