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Diontae Johnson

Diontae Johnson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Seattle Seahawks vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Diontae Johnson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 43.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 44.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 43.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Pittsburgh Steelers will be rolling out backup quarterback Mason Rudolph in this contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.

The Steelers are a 4.5-point underdog in this game, which points towards a passing game script.

The predictive model expects Diontae Johnson to notch 7.1 targets in this contest, on balance, ranking him in the 82nd percentile when it comes to wideouts.

Diontae Johnson has put up a massive 92.0 air yards per game this year: 88th percentile when it comes to WRs.

Diontae Johnson slots into the 91st percentile when it comes to WR WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that weighs high-value offensive involvement) with an astounding 67.9 figure this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Pittsburgh Steelers to pass on 55.3% of their opportunities: the 10th-lowest clip on the slate this week.

The leading projections forecast the Steelers to call the 5th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 63.5 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.

The 5th-lowest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Steelers this year (a measly 55.3 per game on average).

The Pittsburgh offensive line profiles as the 6th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative influence on all passing game statistics across the board.

Diontae Johnson's receiving reliability have tailed off this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate shrinking from 61.4% to 57.4%.

More Diontae Johnson Player Props

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