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Diontae Johnson

Diontae Johnson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Pittsburgh Steelers vs New England Patriots

Diontae Johnson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 43.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 39.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 43.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

In this game, Diontae Johnson is predicted by the projections to finish in the 87th percentile among WRs with 8.0 targets.

Diontae Johnson has compiled a whopping 91.0 air yards per game this year: 88th percentile among wideouts.

Diontae Johnson's 72.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that weighs high-value offensive volume) has been notably higher this year than it was last year at 63.2.

With a fantastic 56.0 adjusted yards per game through the air (78th percentile) this year, Diontae Johnson stands as one of the best WRs in the game in the NFL.

Diontae Johnson's 4.94 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year conveys a remarkable improvement in his effectiveness in space over last year's 2.7% rate.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's spread suggests a rushing game script for the Steelers, who are favored by 5.5 points.

Our trusted projections expect the Steelers as the 5th-least pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 52.8% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

Accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Pittsburgh Steelers are forecasted by the projections to call only 63.6 plays on offense in this game: the 9th-fewest on the slate this week.

The 6th-fewest plays in the league have been called by the Pittsburgh Steelers this year (a measly 55.5 per game on average).

The Pittsburgh O-line ranks as the 8th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative influence on all passing game metrics across the board.

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