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Diontae Johnson

Diontae Johnson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Green Bay Packers

 
 
 
Diontae Johnson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 65.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 60.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 65.5 @ -105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Steelers are predicted by our trusted projection set to call 65.9 plays on offense in this game: the 5th-most on the slate this week.
  • The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (3-mph wind) being projected in this game, while ground volume may decline.
  • Our trusted projections expect Diontae Johnson to accrue 9.1 targets in this game, on average, putting him in the 92nd percentile among wide receivers.
  • Diontae Johnson has put up significantly more air yards this year (98.0 per game) than he did last year (89.0 per game).
  • Diontae Johnson's 80.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this year illustrates a substantial improvement in his pass-catching proficiency over last year's 56.0 mark.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 3-point advantage, the Steelers are favored in this week's contest, indicating more of a focus on running than their usual approach.
  • The 6th-lowest number of plays in football have been called by the Steelers this year (a measly 54.5 per game on average).
  • Opposing teams teams have been wary to rely on the passing game too much against the Green Bay Packers, totaling the 9th-fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 34.1 per game) this year.
  • Diontae Johnson has been less involved as a potential pass-catcher this season (78.8% Route Participation% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (96.2%).
  • When it comes to pocket protection (and the ramifications it has on all air attack stats), the offensive line of the Pittsburgh Steelers ranks as the 7th-worst in the NFL this year.

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