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Diontae Johnson

Diontae Johnson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Diontae Johnson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 60.5 (-125/-109).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 56.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 60.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Steelers are an enormous 9.5-point underdog this week, likely creating an extreme passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Pittsburgh Steelers as the 3rd-least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 61.9% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 135.3 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Opposing offenses have averaged 38.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense this year: 9th-most in the NFL.

Diontae Johnson has run a route on 96.3% of his team's dropbacks this year, ranking in the 93rd percentile among WRs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Diontae Johnson has compiled quite a few less receiving yards per game (59.0) this year than he did last year (71.0).

Diontae Johnson's receiving reliability have tailed off this year, with his Completion% shrinking from 66.4% to 60.6%.

Diontae Johnson's pass-catching efficiency has tailed off this year, compiling a mere 6.18 yards-per-target vs a 7.32 mark last year.

Diontae Johnson's ability to pick up extra yardage has tailed off this season, totaling just 2.61 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 4.16 mark last season.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense has surrendered the 3rd-least receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 131.0) vs. wide receivers this year.

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