Diontae Johnson Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Diontae Johnson

NFL · Player Props

Diontae Johnson

WR · Pittsburgh Steelers

Receiving Yards

Cleveland Browns vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Week 3, 2022

Updated Sep 22, 2022 11:30 PM EST

Analysis

Diontae Johnson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 53.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 60.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 53.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Steelers are a 4.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating a passing game script.
The Pittsburgh Steelers have called the 9th-most plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a whopping 63.9 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Diontae Johnson to accumulate 9.1 targets this week, on average, putting him in the 96th percentile among wide receivers.
Diontae Johnson has been a key part of his team's passing offense, earning a Target Share of 28.9% since the start of last season, which places him in the 98th percentile among wide receivers.
Diontae Johnson has accumulated a whopping 92.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 92nd percentile among wideouts.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Steelers to run the 11th-least plays on offense on the slate this week with 60.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The weather report calls for 19-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.
Diontae Johnson's pass-game efficiency has diminished this season, notching just 5.88 yards-per-target vs a 7.32 rate last season.
Diontae Johnson's talent in picking up extra yardage have worsened this season, averaging a mere 3.08 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 4.16 rate last season.
The Cleveland Browns pass defense has yielded the 9th-lowest Completion% in football (64.6%) vs. wide receivers since the start of last season (64.6%).

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