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Diontae Johnson

Diontae Johnson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Cleveland Browns vs Pittsburgh Steelers

 
 
 
Diontae Johnson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 53.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 60.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 53.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Steelers are a 4.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating a passing game script.
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have called the 9th-most plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a whopping 63.9 plays per game.
  • THE BLITZ projects Diontae Johnson to accumulate 9.1 targets this week, on average, putting him in the 96th percentile among wide receivers.
  • Diontae Johnson has been a key part of his team's passing offense, earning a Target Share of 28.9% since the start of last season, which places him in the 98th percentile among wide receivers.
  • Diontae Johnson has accumulated a whopping 92.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 92nd percentile among wideouts.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Steelers to run the 11th-least plays on offense on the slate this week with 60.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The weather report calls for 19-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.
  • Diontae Johnson's pass-game efficiency has diminished this season, notching just 5.88 yards-per-target vs a 7.32 rate last season.
  • Diontae Johnson's talent in picking up extra yardage have worsened this season, averaging a mere 3.08 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 4.16 rate last season.
  • The Cleveland Browns pass defense has yielded the 9th-lowest Completion% in football (64.6%) vs. wide receivers since the start of last season (64.6%).

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