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Diontae Johnson

Diontae Johnson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 18

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cleveland Browns

 
 
 
Diontae Johnson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 53.5 (+106/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 54.5 @ -112 before it was bet down to 53.5 @ -140.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have run the 5th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a whopping 61.5 plays per game.
  • The forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • Diontae Johnson has run a route on 96.8% of his team's dropbacks this year, putting him in the 98th percentile among wide receivers.
  • THE BLITZ projects Diontae Johnson to accumulate 8.0 targets this week, on average, ranking in the 90th percentile among WRs.
  • Diontae Johnson has notched a monstrous 89.0 air yards per game this year: 92nd percentile among wideouts.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Pittsburgh Steelers to be the 8th-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 54.0% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 127.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.5 pass attempts per game versus the Cleveland Browns defense this year: 4th-least in the league.
  • Diontae Johnson has put up significantly fewer receiving yards per game (57.0) this year than he did last year (73.0).
  • Diontae Johnson has been among the least efficient receivers in football, averaging a measly 6.82 yards-per-target this year while checking in at the 4th percentile among WRs

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