Diontae Johnson Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 18

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Diontae Johnson

NFL · Player Props

Diontae Johnson

WR · Pittsburgh Steelers

Receiving Yards

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cleveland Browns · Week 18, 2022

Updated Jan 8, 2023 9:01 PM EST

Analysis

Diontae Johnson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 53.5 (+106/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 54.5 @ -112 before it was bet down to 53.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Pittsburgh Steelers have run the 5th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a whopping 61.5 plays per game.
The forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Diontae Johnson has run a route on 96.8% of his team's dropbacks this year, putting him in the 98th percentile among wide receivers.
THE BLITZ projects Diontae Johnson to accumulate 8.0 targets this week, on average, ranking in the 90th percentile among WRs.
Diontae Johnson has notched a monstrous 89.0 air yards per game this year: 92nd percentile among wideouts.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Pittsburgh Steelers to be the 8th-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 54.0% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 127.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.5 pass attempts per game versus the Cleveland Browns defense this year: 4th-least in the league.
Diontae Johnson has put up significantly fewer receiving yards per game (57.0) this year than he did last year (73.0).
Diontae Johnson has been among the least efficient receivers in football, averaging a measly 6.82 yards-per-target this year while checking in at the 4th percentile among WRs

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