Diontae Johnson Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 16

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Diontae Johnson

NFL · Player Props

Diontae Johnson

WR · Pittsburgh Steelers

Receiving Yards

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Las Vegas Raiders · Week 16, 2022

Updated Dec 25, 2022 2:16 AM UTC

Analysis

Diontae Johnson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 46.5 (+104/-131).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 46.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 46.5 @ -131.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Pittsburgh Steelers have run the 7th-most plays in football this year, totaling a colossal 60.9 plays per game.
Diontae Johnson has run a route on 96.7% of his team's dropbacks this year, ranking in the 98th percentile among wideouts.
THE BLITZ projects Diontae Johnson to accumulate 8.2 targets in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 90th percentile among wide receivers.
Diontae Johnson has notched a whopping 91.0 air yards per game this year: 91st percentile among wideouts.
The Las Vegas Raiders defense has given up the 7th-most receiving yards per game in the league (166.0) vs. wide receivers this year.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Pittsburgh Steelers to be the 10th-least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 54.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The weatherman calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.
Diontae Johnson has totaled substantially fewer receiving yards per game (57.0) this season than he did last season (73.0).
Diontae Johnson has been among the least efficient pass-catchers in the league, averaging just 6.64 yards-per-target this year while ranking in the 5th percentile among WRs
Diontae Johnson's skills in generating extra yardage have declined this year, averaging a measly 2.79 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 3.97 figure last year.

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