Diontae Johnson Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Diontae Johnson

NFL · Player Props

Diontae Johnson

WR · Pittsburgh Steelers

Receiving Yards

Carolina Panthers vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Week 15, 2022

Updated Dec 19, 2022 12:26 AM EST

Analysis

Diontae Johnson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 43.5 (-113/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 45.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 43.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Pittsburgh Steelers as the 10th-most pass-heavy offense in football (context-neutralized) right now with a 63.3% pass rate.
The Pittsburgh Steelers have run the 6th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a monstrous 60.7 plays per game.
Diontae Johnson has run a route on 96.8% of his offense's passing plays this year, placing him in the 97th percentile among wideouts.
THE BLITZ projects Diontae Johnson to accumulate 9.5 targets in this contest, on average, putting him in the 94th percentile among wide receivers.
Diontae Johnson has accrued a colossal 92.0 air yards per game this year: 91st percentile among WRs.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Steelers to call the 9th-least total plays among all teams this week with 63.7 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Diontae Johnson has posted a lot fewer receiving yards per game (53.0) this season than he did last season (73.0).
Diontae Johnson's receiving reliability have worsened this year, with his Completion% decreasing from 65.6% to 61.8%.
Diontae Johnson has been among the least efficient receivers in the NFL, averaging a lowly 6.30 yards-per-target this year while grading out in the 2nd percentile among WRs
Diontae Johnson's ability to generate extra yardage has worsened this season, averaging a mere 2.79 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 3.97 rate last season.

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