Diontae Johnson Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Diontae Johnson

NFL · Player Props

Diontae Johnson

WR · Pittsburgh Steelers

Receiving Yards

Pittsburgh Steelers vs New Orleans Saints · Week 10, 2022

Updated Nov 14, 2022 12:11 AM UTC

Analysis

Diontae Johnson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 52.5 (+110/-140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 50.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 52.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Steelers have been the 10th-most pass-centric team in the NFL (in a neutral context) this year with a 63.4% pass rate.
The Pittsburgh Steelers offense has played at the 5th-quickest pace in the league (in a neutral context) this year, averaging 26.88 seconds per snap.
Diontae Johnson has run a route on 96.7% of his offense's passing plays this year, ranking him in the 96th percentile among wide receivers.
THE BLITZ projects Diontae Johnson to notch 8.6 targets in this contest, on average, putting him in the 88th percentile among wideouts.
Diontae Johnson has compiled far more air yards this year (100.0 per game) than he did last year (92.0 per game).

Favors Under

The weather report calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.
Opposing QBs have averaged 33.3 pass attempts per game vs. the New Orleans Saints defense this year: 6th-least in football.
Diontae Johnson has notched quite a few less receiving yards per game (54.0) this season than he did last season (71.0).
Diontae Johnson's ball-catching skills have worsened this year, with his Completion% decreasing from 66.4% to 60.6%.
Diontae Johnson's pass-catching efficiency has declined this year, averaging a measly 5.82 yards-per-target vs a 7.32 mark last year.

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