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Diontae Johnson

Diontae Johnson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Pittsburgh Steelers vs New Orleans Saints

 
 
 
Diontae Johnson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 52.5 (+110/-140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 50.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 52.5 @ +110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Steelers have been the 10th-most pass-centric team in the NFL (in a neutral context) this year with a 63.4% pass rate.
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers offense has played at the 5th-quickest pace in the league (in a neutral context) this year, averaging 26.88 seconds per snap.
  • Diontae Johnson has run a route on 96.7% of his offense's passing plays this year, ranking him in the 96th percentile among wide receivers.
  • THE BLITZ projects Diontae Johnson to notch 8.6 targets in this contest, on average, putting him in the 88th percentile among wideouts.
  • Diontae Johnson has compiled far more air yards this year (100.0 per game) than he did last year (92.0 per game).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The weather report calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 33.3 pass attempts per game vs. the New Orleans Saints defense this year: 6th-least in football.
  • Diontae Johnson has notched quite a few less receiving yards per game (54.0) this season than he did last season (71.0).
  • Diontae Johnson's ball-catching skills have worsened this year, with his Completion% decreasing from 66.4% to 60.6%.
  • Diontae Johnson's pass-catching efficiency has declined this year, averaging a measly 5.82 yards-per-target vs a 7.32 mark last year.

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