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Diontae Johnson
NFL · Player Props
Diontae Johnson
WR · Pittsburgh Steelers
Receiving TD
Pittsburgh Steelers vs New York Jets · Week 4, 2022 Updated Oct 2, 2022 11:20 PM UTC
NFL Props Diontae Johnson Receiving TD

Diontae Johnson Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+159/-224).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -216 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -224.

Favors Over
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the most plays run on the slate this week at 138.5 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have run the 7th-most plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a whopping 60.5 plays per game.
  • THE BLITZ projects Diontae Johnson to be a more integral piece of his offense's air attack near the end zone this week (25.7% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (0.0% in games he has played).
  • Diontae Johnson has accrued a monstrous 96.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 94th percentile among WRs.
  • Diontae Johnson's 77.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been notably better this year than it was last year at 67.8.
Favors Under
  • The Steelers are a 3-point favorite this week, which points towards a rushing game script.
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers offensive line has allowed their QB a measly 2.19 seconds before the pass (worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a harmful effect on all pass attack stats across the board.
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have utilized play action on just 18.5% of their dropbacks since the start of last season (3rd-least in the NFL), making the offense more predictable and lowering passing effectiveness.
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have elected to go for it on 4th down a lowly 14.9% of the time since the start of last season (5th-least in football), which generally means less offensive volume, less TD potential, and lower offensive statistics across the board.
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