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Diontae Johnson

Diontae Johnson Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 13

Atlanta Falcons vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Diontae Johnson Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+214/-328).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +219 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +214.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Pittsburgh Steelers have run the 6th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a monstrous 61.5 plays per game.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

Diontae Johnson has been an integral part of his team's pass game near the end zone, garnering a Red Zone Target Share of 25.7% this year, which ranks in the 90th percentile among wide receivers.

The Atlanta Falcons defense has surrendered the 6th-most passing touchdowns in the league to wide receivers: 1.08 per game this year.

The Atlanta Falcons cornerbacks rank as the 8th-worst collection of CBs in football this year in pass coverage.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-least plays run on the slate this week at 125.5 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Diontae Johnson has posted significantly fewer air yards this season (86.0 per game) than he did last season (93.0 per game).

Diontae Johnson's 58.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been notably lower this year than it was last year at 67.0.

Diontae Johnson's receiving reliability have diminished this year, with his Completion% decreasing from 65.6% to 62.6%.

Diontae Johnson grades out in the 1st percentile among wide receivers when it comes to catching touchdowns this year, averaging a mere 0.00 per game.

More Diontae Johnson Player Props

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