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Diontae Johnson

Diontae Johnson Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 12

Indianapolis Colts vs Pittsburgh Steelers

 
 
 
Diontae Johnson Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+274/-464).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +274 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +274.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have called the 7th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 61.5 plays per game.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • Diontae Johnson has been a key part of his team's passing attack near the goal line, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 24.1% this year, which ranks him in the 87th percentile among wideouts.
  • Diontae Johnson has compiled a monstrous 89.0 air yards per game this year: 90th percentile among wide receivers.
  • The Indianapolis Colts defensive ends profile as the worst DE corps in the NFL this year when it comes to rushing the passer.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Steelers to call the 5th-least offensive plays on the slate this week with 66.0 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 29.7 pass attempts per game against the Indianapolis Colts defense this year: least in football.
  • Diontae Johnson's 57.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially lower this year than it was last year at 67.8.
  • Diontae Johnson's ball-catching skills have worsened this season, with his Completion% decreasing from 66.4% to 63.2%.
  • Diontae Johnson ranks in the 1st percentile among wideouts as it relates to catching touchdowns this year, averaging just 0.00 per game.

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