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DeVonta Smith

DeVonta Smith Receptions
Player Prop Week 9

Philadelphia Eagles vs Jacksonville Jaguars

DeVonta Smith Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The 7th-largest volume of plays in football have been called by the Eagles this year (a staggering 59.0 per game on average).

The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and lower run volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

Opposing QBs have averaged 37.1 pass attempts per game versus the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year: 6th-most in the league.

Our trusted projections expect DeVonta Smith to notch 7.4 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking him in the 83rd percentile when it comes to WRs.

DeVonta Smith's 66.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that quantifies high-value offensive volume) has been notably better this season than it was last season at 58.1.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 7.5-point advantage, the Eagles are a heavy favorite this week, indicating much more of an emphasis on rushing than their standard game plan.

Our trusted projections expect the Philadelphia Eagles as the 2nd-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 50.9% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

The predictive model expects this game to have the 3rd-fewest plays run out of all the games this week at 125.2 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

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