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DeVonta Smith

DeVonta Smith Receptions
Player Prop Week 8

Cincinnati Bengals vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
DeVonta Smith Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-170/+130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -170.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • With a 3-point advantage, the Eagles are favored in this game, indicating more of a focus on running than their usual approach.
  • The Eagles have called the 6th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a staggering 59.7 plays per game.
  • Calm weather conditions (like the 3-mph wind being called for in this game) typically cause increased passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher air volume, and reduced rush volume.
  • The Bengals defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, leading opposing QBs to attempt the 8th-most passes in the league (36.6 per game) this year.
  • The leading projections forecast DeVonta Smith to earn 7.7 targets in this game, on balance, ranking him in the 85th percentile among WRs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 56.6% rate of passing the ball (context-neutralized) this year, the 7th-least pass-oriented team in the league has been the Philadelphia Eagles.
  • The projections expect the Eagles to run the 10th-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.3 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.

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