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DeVonta Smith

DeVonta Smith Receptions
Player Prop Week 6

Philadelphia Eagles vs Cleveland Browns

DeVonta Smith Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-165/+125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -148 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ +125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is expected by the projections to see 131.8 total plays called: the 4th-highest number among all games this week.

The 5th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the Eagles this year (a colossal 60.5 per game on average).

DeVonta Smith has run a route on 92.0% of his offense's passing plays this year, ranking him in the 88th percentile when it comes to wideouts.

This week, DeVonta Smith is forecasted by the model to land in the 91st percentile among WRs with 8.6 targets.

DeVonta Smith profiles as one of the leading WRs in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a fantastic 5.4 adjusted receptions per game while grading out in the 90th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Eagles are a 3-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Philadelphia Eagles to pass on 54.8% of their chances: the 7th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.

Opposing offenses teams have been disinclined to rely on the passing game too much against the Cleveland Browns, averaging the 7th-fewest attempts in football (a mere 30.6 per game) this year.

The Browns pass defense has conceded the 3rd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (57.1%) vs. WRs this year (57.1%).

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