|
|
DeVonta Smith Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+105/-135).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +113 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +105.
|
|
|
|
|
|
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
|
|
The leading projections forecast this game to have the smallest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 130.6 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.The Philadelphia Eagles have run the 5th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 59.6 plays per game.DeVonta Smith has run a route on 96.0% of his offense's passing plays this year, putting him in the 97th percentile when it comes to wideouts.DeVonta Smith rates as one of the best pass-catching wide receivers this year, averaging an excellent 4.5 adjusted receptions per game while checking in at the 81st percentile.DeVonta Smith's ball-catching skills have gotten a boost this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate increasing from 72.8% to 81.0%.
|
|
|
|
|
|
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
|
|
With a 6-point advantage, the Eagles are favored in this week's contest, implying more of a reliance on running than their typical approach.The projections expect the Eagles as the least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 45.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.Opposing teams teams have been reluctant to test the pass defense of the Commanders, totaling the fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 25.9 per game) this year.This year, the fierce Commanders defense has allowed a paltry 62.9% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing wide receivers: the 7th-lowest rate in football.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
