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DeVonta Smith

DeVonta Smith Receptions
Player Prop Week 20

Philadelphia Eagles vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
DeVonta Smith Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • With a sizeable 96.0% Route% (97th percentile) this year, DeVonta Smith stands among the WRs with the most usage in the league.
  • DeVonta Smith grades out as one of the best WRs in the game this year, averaging an impressive 4.9 adjusted receptions per game while ranking in the 85th percentile.
  • DeVonta Smith's 80.9% Adjusted Completion Rate this year illustrates a noteworthy boost in his receiving prowess over last year's 72.8% mark.
  • The Los Angeles Rams linebackers grade out as the 6th-worst LB corps in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This game's line suggests a rushing game script for the Eagles, who are favored by 6.5 points.
  • The projections expect the Eagles to be the least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 39.0% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • The projections expect the Eagles offense to be the 7th-most sluggish paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time, averaging 28.25 seconds per play.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 30.5 pass attempts per game against the Los Angeles Rams defense this year: 7th-fewest in the NFL.
  • This year, the tough Rams defense has yielded a meager 59.3% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing wide receivers: the 2nd-lowest rate in football.

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