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DeVonta Smith

DeVonta Smith Receptions
Player Prop Week 2

Philadelphia Eagles vs Atlanta Falcons

DeVonta Smith Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-184/+140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -128 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -184.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is anticipated by the projection model to see 137.2 total plays called: the highest number out of all the games this week.

The 6th-largest volume of plays in football have been run by the Philadelphia Eagles since the start of last season (a staggering 60.4 per game on average).

In this week's contest, DeVonta Smith is forecasted by the projections to rank in the 95th percentile among wide receivers with 9.7 targets.

While DeVonta Smith has been responsible for 23.8% of his team's targets in games he has played since the start of last season, the projections expect him to be a more integral piece of Philadelphia's offense in this game at 29.0%.

The Philadelphia offensive line grades out as the best in the league since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all air attack metrics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Eagles are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to a rushing game script.

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Philadelphia Eagles to pass on 54.5% of their chances: the lowest rate on the slate this week.

Opposing QBs teams have been afraid to rely on the passing game too much against the Atlanta Falcons, totaling the fewest attempts in the league (just 32.3 per game) since the start of last season.

The Falcons pass defense has surrendered the 7th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (61.6%) vs. wideouts since the start of last season (61.6%).

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