My Account Log Out

reorder

DeVonta Smith

DeVonta Smith Receptions
Player Prop Week 17

Philadelphia Eagles vs Dallas Cowboys

DeVonta Smith Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-105/-125).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Eagles will be rolling with backup quarterback Kenny Pickett this week, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.

Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Eagles are forecasted by the model to run 67.0 offensive plays in this game: the 8th-most among all teams this week.

The Eagles have called the 6th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a massive 60.1 plays per game.

With an exceptional 96.0% Route Participation Rate (96th percentile) this year, DeVonta Smith places as one of the wideouts with the most usage in the NFL.

The model projects DeVonta Smith to total 7.9 targets in this week's game, on balance, ranking him in the 81st percentile when it comes to WRs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 7.5-point advantage, the Eagles are a massive favorite in this week's game, suggesting much more of an emphasis on rushing than their standard game plan.

The predictive model expects the Philadelphia Eagles as the least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 44.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

Windy weather conditions (like the 12-mph being called for in this game) typically prompt decreased passing effectiveness, reduced pass volume, and increased ground volume.

Opposing teams have averaged 32.0 pass attempts per game versus the Cowboys defense this year: 5th-fewest in football.

More DeVonta Smith Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™