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DeVonta Smith

DeVonta Smith Receptions
Player Prop Week 14

Philadelphia Eagles vs Carolina Panthers

DeVonta Smith Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+130/-170).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -165 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -170.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Eagles are projected by the model to run 65.9 total plays in this game: the 8th-highest number on the slate this week.

The Philadelphia Eagles have run the 9th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a monstrous 59.4 plays per game.

DeVonta Smith has run a route on 95.1% of his offense's passing plays this year, ranking him in the 94th percentile among wide receivers.

With an outstanding 4.5 adjusted catches per game (81st percentile) this year, DeVonta Smith stands among the leading pass-catching WRs in football.

DeVonta Smith checks in as one of the best possession receivers in the NFL, hauling in a remarkable 73.9% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, ranking in the 84th percentile among WRs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Eagles are a big 14-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.

Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Eagles to pass on 42.9% of their plays: the lowest frequency on the slate this week.

More DeVonta Smith Player Props

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