DeVonta Smith Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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DeVonta Smith

NFL · Player Props

DeVonta Smith

WR · Philadelphia Eagles

Receptions

Washington Commanders vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 8, 2023

Updated Oct 29, 2023 7:26 PM UTC

Analysis

DeVonta Smith Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-115/-125).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The projections expect DeVonta Smith to earn 7.1 targets this week, on balance, placing him in the 76th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.
The Philadelphia O-line grades out as the 4th-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all passing game statistics across the board.
As it relates to linebackers in covering receivers, Washington's collection of LBs has been very bad this year, grading out as the 3rd-worst in the league.

Favors Under

This game's line suggests a rushing game script for the Eagles, who are favored by 6.5 points.
Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Eagles to pass on 53.8% of their opportunities: the 7th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
The projections expect the Eagles offense to be the 10th-slowest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 28.64 seconds per play.
DeVonta Smith's 22.0% Target% this season marks a noteable drop-off in his passing attack usage over last season's 27.1% figure.
DeVonta Smith's receiving performance has worsened this year, accumulating a measly 4.6 adjusted receptions compared to 5.6 last year.

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