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DeVonta Smith

DeVonta Smith Receptions
Player Prop Week 16

Philadelphia Eagles vs New York Giants

DeVonta Smith Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

To the extent of a defense's impact on pace, at 27.47 seconds per play, the model projects the Philadelphia Eagles to be the 5th-fastest in the league (adjusted for context) right now.

DeVonta Smith has run a route on 99.3% of his offense's dropbacks this year, ranking him in the 100th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.

In this week's contest, DeVonta Smith is anticipated by the projections to position himself in the 75th percentile when it comes to wideouts with 6.5 targets.

When talking about pass protection (and the positive effect it has on all pass attack metrics), the offensive line of the Eagles ranks as the best in the NFL this year.

DeVonta Smith rates as one of the leading pass-catching wide receivers this year, averaging a remarkable 5.4 adjusted receptions per game while checking in at the 91st percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 14-point advantage, the Eagles are overwhelmingly favored this week, suggesting much more of a focus on rushing than their normal game plan.

The model projects the Philadelphia Eagles as the least pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 48.1% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

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