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DeVonta Smith

DeVonta Smith Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 22

Philadelphia Eagles vs Kansas City Chiefs

DeVonta Smith Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 54.5 (-123/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 50.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 54.5 @ -123.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Philadelphia Eagles have called the 5th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a whopping 59.4 plays per game.

The pass games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may slide.

DeVonta Smith has run a route on 96.1% of his team's passing plays this year, putting him in the 96th percentile among wideouts.

The leading projections forecast DeVonta Smith to accumulate 7.0 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking him in the 78th percentile when it comes to wideouts.

DeVonta Smith's possession skills have gotten a boost this season, with his Adjusted Completion% increasing from 72.8% to 81.0%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Philadelphia Eagles to pass on 51.0% of their plays: the lowest frequency on the slate this week.

Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Eagles are anticipated by the model to call only 67.4 offensive plays in this contest: the fewest among all teams this week.

Opposing offenses have averaged 29.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Chiefs defense this year: 8th-fewest in football.

DeVonta Smith has put up far fewer air yards this year (57.0 per game) than he did last year (87.0 per game).

The Philadelphia Eagles O-line grades out as the worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful effect on all passing offense statistics across the board.

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