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DeVonta Smith

DeVonta Smith Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 15

Philadelphia Eagles vs Pittsburgh Steelers

DeVonta Smith Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 49.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 51.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 49.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Calm weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being called for in this game) usually correlate with better passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher pass volume, and reduced run volume.

DeVonta Smith has run a route on 95.5% of his team's dropbacks this year, placing him in the 95th percentile among wide receivers.

In this game, DeVonta Smith is predicted by the model to position himself in the 75th percentile when it comes to wideouts with 6.7 targets.

In regards to pass protection (and the strong effect it has on all passing offense metrics), the O-line of the Philadelphia Eagles ranks as the 10th-best in the NFL this year.

DeVonta Smith grades out as one of the most sure-handed receivers in the league, hauling in an impressive 74.5% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, grading out in the 87th percentile among WRs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Eagles are a 5.5-point favorite in this game, which points towards a running game script.

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Eagles to pass on 46.8% of their chances: the 2nd-lowest clip on the slate this week.

The predictive model expects the Eagles offense to be the 5th-slowest paced team in football (adjusted for context) right now, averaging 28.99 seconds per snap.

After averaging 87.0 air yards per game last year, DeVonta Smith has seen a big decrease this year, currently averaging 64.0 per game.

DeVonta Smith's 53.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this year marks a substantial drop-off in his receiving skills over last year's 66.0 rate.

More DeVonta Smith Player Props

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