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DeVonta Smith

DeVonta Smith Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Dallas Cowboys vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
DeVonta Smith Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 51.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Eagles are forecasted by the projection model to run 66.3 total plays in this contest: the 3rd-highest number on the slate this week.
  • The 8th-most plays in football have been called by the Philadelphia Eagles this year (a monstrous 59.8 per game on average).
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • The projections expect DeVonta Smith to accrue 7.5 targets this week, on balance, placing him in the 85th percentile among WRs.
  • DeVonta Smith's 66.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that calculates high-value offensive volume) has been significantly better this season than it was last season at 58.1.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Eagles are a massive 7.5-point favorite in this game, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
  • The model projects the Philadelphia Eagles as the least pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 50.8% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 28.6 pass attempts per game versus the Cowboys defense this year: fewest in the NFL.
  • After accumulating 87.0 air yards per game last year, DeVonta Smith has produced significantly less this year, now pacing 75.0 per game.

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